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Repeat RNA sequences self-associate to form condensates. Simulations of a coarse-grained single-interaction site model for (CAG)n (n = 30 and 31) show that the salt-dependent free energy gap, ΔGS, between the ground (perfect hairpin) and the excited state (slipped hairpin (SH) with one CAG overhang) of the monomer for (n even) is the primary factor that determines the rates and yield of self-assembly. For odd n, the free energy (GS) of the ground state, which is an SH, is used to predict the self-association kinetics. As the monovalent salt concentration, CS, increases, ΔGS and GS increase, which decreases the rates of dimer formation. In contrast, ΔGS for shuffled sequences, with the same length and sequence composition as (CAG)31, is larger, which suppresses their propensities to aggregate. Although demonstrated explicitly for (CAG) polymers, the finding of inverse correlation between the free energy gap and RNA aggregation is general. 

Low-complexity nucleotide repeat sequences, which are implicated in several neurological disorders, undergo liquid–liquid phase separation (LLPS) provided the number of repeat units, n , exceeds a critical value. Here, we establish a link between the folding landscapes of the monomers of trinucleotide repeats and their propensity to self-associate. Simulations using a coarse-grained Self-Organized Polymer (SOP) model for (CAG) n repeats in monovalent salt solutions reproduce experimentally measured melting temperatures, which are available only for small n . By extending the simulations to large n , we show that the free-energy gap, ΔG S , between the ground state (GS) and slipped hairpin (SH) states is a predictor of aggregation propensity. The GS for even n is a perfect hairpin (PH), whereas it is a SH when n is odd. The value of ΔG S (zero for odd n ) is larger for even n than for odd n . As a result, the rate of dimer formation is slower in (CAG) 30 relative to (CAG) 31 , thus linking ΔG S to RNA–RNA association. The yield of the dimer decreases dramatically, compared to the wild type, in mutant sequences in which the population of the SH decreases substantially. Association between RNA chains is preceded by a transition to the SH even if the GS is a PH. The finding that the excitation spectrum—which depends on the exact sequence, n , and ionic conditions—is a predictor of self-association should also hold for other RNAs (mRNA for example) that undergo LLPS.